Investors commonly see emerging markets as an asset class that requires market timing. That it comes in and out of fashion like turtlenecks and corduroys – just a short-term fad. However, don’t look for reasons this latest investment trend will soon end up in the donation pile.
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March payrolls beat consensus estimates by 256,000, the largest one month increase since August. High-frequency data suggests gains in April and May could be greater than 1,000,000.
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Beating economists' expectations, the U.S. labor market continued its recovery in August, adding 1.37 million jobs. The unemployment rate fell by almost two percentage points, to 8.4%.
Economic progress can be explained by how many jobs are created. Therefore, this was a solid report. However, there are signs that job gains will moderate going forward. Those unemployed, who characterized their status as temporary, fell to 45% versus 78% in February. Overall, data in the report fits with our thesis that current economic expansion will continue through the fall, but at a much slower pace.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg. Data shown is from September 2019 through August 2020. This chart is being provided as a general source of information for education purposes only, and is not intended as a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any specific security or to engage in any investment strategy.
