Ivy Energy Fund

09.30.20

Market Sector Update

  • Oil markets have been in a narrow trading range near $40 over the past three months. The coronavirus continues to be the key headwind as oil market fundamentals focus on global supply and demand dynamics. Markets are focused on the continuing resurgence in global COVID-19 cases and the threats to consumption from a slowdown in reopenings and new lockdowns.
  • Supply and demand continued to rebalance as demand increased as the world economies rebounded. Supply has been reduced due to larger-than-expected cuts from global producers and high levels of OPEC+ compliance.
  • The oil refining business has been turned upside down from the pandemic economy by reshaping demand as different parts of the barrel recover at different speeds. Refining margins have been weak as gasoline inventories fall while diesel and jet fuel inventories swell due to jet fuel being made into more diesel. During the period, companies announced that six U.S. refineries are shutting down or converting to alternative fuels.

Portfolio Strategy

  • Both the Fund and its benchmark index, the S&P 1500 Energy Sector Index, experienced negative returns for the period ended Sept. 30, 2020. However, the benchmark’s negative return was greater. During the period, the Fund’s allocation to energy sectors remained steady from the previous quarter.
  • Key contributors to the Fund’s relative performance included holdings in Enphase Energy, Inc., Aspen Technology, Inc., First Solar, Inc. Occidental Petroleum Corp. and Liberty Oilfield Services, Inc.
  • Industry allocations changed slightly when compared to those of the prior quarter. Approximately 31% of the equity holdings in the Fund were allocated to the oil and gas exploration and production industry segment, followed by 22% to oil and gas equipment and services and 14% to oil and gas refining and marketing.
  • The core focus of the energy strategy remains on investing in companies that can create value over the full course of the energy cycle. We seek to identify those as companies that are low-cost operators, have strong balance sheets, have the ability to grow profitably and have strong return on capital.

Outlook

  • Our outlook has not changed for the next 12 months. We see the oil markets continuing to tighten even though demand weakness is our main concern going forward. Demand recovery has been disappointing as COVID-19 cases rise again adding to the lack of visibility.
  • The U.S. supply has not bounced back despite the return of shut-in production. We do not expect any material increase in OPEC+ supply through the end of 2020. We anticipate continued OPEC+ restraint through the end of the year and a further fall in U.S. supply in the fourth quarter and in 2021.

The opinions expressed are those of the Fund’s managers and are not meant as investment advice or to predict or project the future performance of any investment product. The opinions are current through Sept. 30, 2020, are subject to change at any time based on market and other current conditions, and no forecasts can be guaranteed. This commentary is being provided as a general source of information and is not intended as a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any specific security or to engage in any investment strategy. Investment decisions should always be made based on an investor’s specific objectives, financial needs, risk tolerance and time horizon. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Top 10 equity holdings as a percent of net assets (%) as of 09/30/2020: Marathon Petroleum Corp. 4.9, Phillips 66 4.5, Valero Energy Corp. 4.4, Cactus, Inc. 4.2, WEX, Inc. 4.1, Pioneer Natural Resources Co. 4.1, Hess Corp. 3.8, Concho Resources, Inc. 3.8, Aspen Technology, Inc. 3.6 and Baker Hughes Co. 3.4.

The S&P 1500 Energy Sector Index is an unmanaged index comprised of securities that represent the energy sector of the stock market. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. All information is based on Class I shares.

The impact of COVID-19, and other infectious illness outbreaks that may arise in the future, could adversely affect the economies of many nations or the entire global economy, individual issuers and capital markets in ways that cannot necessarily be foreseen. In addition, the impact of infectious illnesses in emerging market countries may be greater due to generally less established healthcare systems. Public health crises caused by the COVID-19 outbreak may exacerbate other pre-existing political, social and economic risks in certain countries or globally. The duration of the COVID-19 outbreak and its effects cannot be determined with certainty.

Risk factors: The value of the Fund’s shares will change, and you could lose money on your investment. Because the Fund invests more than 25% of its total assets in the energy related industry, the Fund may be more susceptible to a single economic, regulatory, or technological occurrence than a fund that does not concentrate its investments in this industry. Investing in companies involved in one specified sector may be more risky and volatile than an investment with greater diversification. The Fund typically holds a limited number of stocks (generally 35 to 55). As a result, the appreciation or depreciation of any one security held by the Fund may have a greater impact on the Fund’s NAV than it would if the Fund invested in a larger number of securities. Investing in the energy sector can be riskier than other types of investment activities because of a range of factors, including price fluctuation caused by real and perceived inflationary trends and political developments, and the cost assumed by energy companies in complying with environmental safety regulations. The Fund may invest in Initial Public Offerings (IPOs), which can have a significant positive impact on the Fund’s performance that may not be replicated in the future. These and other risks are more fully described in the Fund’s prospectus. Not all funds or fund classes may be offered at all broker/dealers.