Ivy Focused Energy NextShares

Ivy Focused Energy NextShares
03.31.18

Market Sector Update

  • Global equity markets declined slightly in the quarter as volatility increased. Energy and materials underperformed the broader equity market as growth concerns weighed on returns.
  • Oil prices moved higher in the quarter while base metals moved lower, based on fears of slowing demand from China. Supply trends remained generally favorable across commodity industries, as producers showed better capital discipline.
  • Global trade and economic activity continued to be strong but markets reflected increasing geopolitical concerns, including the potential for a trade war between the U.S. and China following the imposition of tariffs between the two countries.
  • Investment in U.S. oil supply continued to ramp higher as evidenced by increasing capital spending and a rising rig count. The majority of the investment continued to be directed at the Permian Basin, where oil supply is ample and breakeven prices are low on the cost curve.
  • As a result, supply is accelerating rapidly in the U.S. while most other parts of the world are seeing supply declines. The overall oil market remained slightly undersupplied as of the end of the quarter and global inventories continued to trend lower.
  • As expected, the U.S. Federal Reserve in March again increased its base interest rate to a target range of 1.50-1.75% and indicated it plans to continue raising rates this year.

Portfolio Strategy

  • The Fund posted a negative return for the quarter, but its return was slightly better than the negative return of its benchmark index.
  • The Fund’s focus remains on owning companies that can create value over the full course of the energy cycle. We target companies that are low-cost operators, have strong balance sheets, have the ability to grow profitably and have strong return on capital.
  • The five greatest contributors to the Fund’s performance relative to its benchmark index in the quarter were Exxon Mobil Corp., Chevron Corp., RSP Permian Inc., Continental Resources, Inc. and Occidental Petroleum Corp.
  • The five greatest detractors to relative performance were RPC Inc., U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc., Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc., C&J Energy Services, Inc. and Superior Energy Services.

Outlook

  • Our outlook has not changed in the quarter, as we believe we are in the early stages of a cyclical recovery. Demand surprised us the most in the quarter, led by improving emerging markets, and we expect global economic growth to continue in 2018.
  • We expect U.S. oil production will continue ramping higher and lead the U.S. to have the strongest supply growth of any country in the world. We believe this supply will satisfy the majority of world demand for oil.
  • Early signs have emerged that the Permian Basin is dealing with logistical bottlenecks and production capacity constraints, which could create pricing issues in that region. We will watch closely for more indicators and details.
  • Worldwide oil inventories continue to fall as demand has been better than expected, supply growth has been constrained by lower oil prices and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) continues to constrain supply. We think global oil inventories will remain at or below the five-year average if OPEC supply is capped. This would be supportive for world oil prices.
  • Geopolitical issues from OPEC compliance, risks from the war in Syria, new sanctions on Iran and Venezuela, and potential tariffs and trade wars have become more of a concern as supply and demand are in a deficit.
  • Despite strong oil supply growth in the U.S., producers are signaling their intent to be more capital disciplined in the coming years and returning more free cash flow to shareholders. This behavior would support oil prices, and we are watching to see if this becomes reality.
  • We believe U.S. shale oil continues to offer opportunities. Companies continue to improve efficiency and productivity, and manage costs effectively. The Fund is positioned based on our expectation for a long-term rise in oil prices. In general, we think the Fund can perform well relative to its peers when oil prices rise.

The opinions expressed are those of the Fund’s managers and are not meant as investment advice or to predict or project the future performance of any investment product. The opinions are current through March 31, 2018, are subject to change at any time based on market and other current conditions, and no forecasts can be guaranteed. This commentary is being provided as a general source of information and is not intended as a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any specific security or to engage in any investment strategy. Investment decisions should always be made based on an investor’s specific objectives, financial needs, risk tolerance and time horizon. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

IVY000183 07/31/2018

Top 10 Equity Holdings as a percent of net assets as of 03/31/2018: Continental Resources, Inc., 6.11%; Halliburton Co., 5.97%; Schlumberger Ltd., 5.49%; EOG Resources, Inc., 5.41%; Pioneer Natural Resources Co., 5.31%; Parsley Energy, Inc., Class A, 5.15%; RSP Permian, Inc., 5.10%; Marathon Petroleum Corp., 4.49%; Anadarko Petroleum Corp., 4.45%; Concho Resources, Inc., 4.08%.

Risk factors: The value of the Fund’s shares will change, and you could lose money on your investment. An investment in the Fund is not a bank deposit and is not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Investing in companies involved in one specified sector may be more risky and volatile than an investment with greater diversification. Investing in the energy sector can be riskier than other types of investment activities because of a range of factors, including price fluctuation caused by real and perceived inflationary trends and political developments, and the cost assumed by energy companies in complying with environmental safety regulations. These and other risks are more fully described in the Fund’s prospectus. Not all funds or fund classes may be offered at all broker/dealers.

Ivy Nextshares are a new type of fund. NextShares funds have a limited operating history and may not be available at all broker/dealers. There is no guarantee that an active trading market for NextShares funds will develop or be maintained, or that their listings will continue or remain unchanged.

About NextShares: Shares of NextShares funds are normally bought and sold in the secondary market through a broker, and may not be individually purchased or redeemed from the fund. In the secondary market, buyers and sellers transact with each other, rather than with the fund. NextShares funds issue and redeem shares only in specified creation unit quantities in transactions by or through Authorized Participants. In such transactions, a fund issues and redeems shares in exchange for the basket of securities, other instruments and/or cash that the fund specifies each business day. By transacting in kind, a NextShares fund can lower its trading costs and enhance fund tax efficiency by avoiding forced sales of securities to meet redemptions. Redemptions may be effected partially or entirely in cash when in-kind delivery is not practicable or deemed not in the best interests of shareholders. A fund’s basket is not intended to be representative of the fund’s current portfolio positions and may vary significantly from current positions. As exchange-traded securities, NextShares can operate with low transfer agency expenses by utilizing the same highly efficient share processing system as used for exchange-listed stocks and ETFs. Trading prices are linked to the NextShares next-computed NAV and will vary by a market-determined premium or discount, which may be zero; may be above, at or below NAV; and may vary significantly from anticipated levels. Purchase and sale prices will not be known until the NextShares NAV is determined at the end of the trading day. NextShares do not offer the opportunity to transact intraday based on current (versus end-of-day) determinations of a fund’s value. Limit orders can be used to control differences in trade prices versus NAV (cost of trade execution), but cannot be used to control or limit execution price. Buying and selling NextShares may require payment of brokerage commissions and expose transacting shareholders to other trading costs. Frequent trading may detract from realized investment returns. The return on a shareholder’s NextShares investment will be reduced if the shareholder sells shares at a greater discount or narrower premium to NAV than he or she acquired the shares.

NextSharesTM is a trademark of NextShares Solutions LLC. All rights reserved. Used with permission.

Ivy NextShares funds are managed by Ivy Investment Management Company and are distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc.

ALPS Distributors, Inc., NextShares Solutions LLC, and Ivy Investment Management Company or Ivy Distributors, Inc. (or their affiliates) are all unaffiliated companies.